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Broad Market Outlook
As we are in the thick of earnings season we are getting reminded no matter how amazing the past is, the street only cares about one thing, the future.
As Apple excited most traders with an amazing past.
They beat EPS exceptions (the past)
They beat their revenue estimates (the past)
Their services revenue beat (the past)
Quarterly revenue hit a new all time high (also the past)
All of this information is great information unfortunately all it tells us is what has happened.
Not what they expect to happen in the future.
Apple quickly gaped up after the report was announced as eager traders expected a free lunch.
Yet most were caught by surprise when the bill came as Apple sold off and traded lower after the report due to a lack of guidance.
This is a perfect lesson to remind ourselves that the market does not care about an EPS beat or miss.
They care about what the company expects to happen in the future.
The average investor places bets on the results of the horse race that has already ended (EPS beat/miss), while you can find the public information of who is going to win or lose the next race by spending a few minutes listening to the conference call.
By focusing on finding what the companies you invest in are expecting to do in the future, this information will give you a edge over the average investor.
From Ben G
Only 1 Medium and 1 Large left on the Market Rally Tee!
SPY
Dow Jones
Nasdaq
MDY Mid Caps
IWM Small Caps
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Do You Have The Patience to Make It On the Leader Board?
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Sector Rotation
Sensitive - sectors that have moderate correlations to overall market conditions.
VGT Tech
VDE Energy
VIS Industrial
VOX Telecom
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Cyclical - sectors that are more sensitive overall market conditions.
VAW Materials
VCR Consumer Discretionary
VFH Financials
VNQ REIT
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Defensive- sectors that tend to outperforming during sub par market conditions.
VDC Consumer Staples
VHT Healthcare
IBB Bio Tech
VPU Utilities
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Friends and Family Challenge
Have a friend that would like to give trading a shot?
Tell them to DM us on IG saying "friends and family"
They can start for the next 90 days at no cost.
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Big Picture Set Up
ABBV
ABBV continues to inch higher with earnings that did not move the stock much, still keeping a stop vs $105 for now.
DHR
DHR took out the all time high and it might just need a little pull back for the next push through $260 in time.
DRI
Tight weekly Blue Sky Breakout setting up in DRI, will be looking to add above $148 for now vs $140.
MMC
Hand sitting time in MMC, hold your winners.
MXIX
We can see a textbook Blue Sky Breakout forming through $99 in time.
PHM
Hand sitting after the solid earnings from PHM.
SNAP
For now we can see there has been a seller at $64, adding on the way up could make sense when that seller breaks, short term a stop vs $56 makes sense however we can see that $48 is the real pivot.
SNOW
Took a feeler up through $240, seems $242 is the area to add above vs $220.
UPS
We say in July after a big weekly move after earnings it was wise to do nothing as it ran into what become the recent all time high ($175), seems like for now could be wise to continue to hold for the time being.
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Traveling Experts
We have a few exciting experiences planned for the year ahead. We hope you find a trip that sparks your interest to come enjoy and network with other like minded members!
Beach Week June 16th-19th (12 Spots Open) Reply Shore to learn more!
Vermont Snowboarding Jan 20th-23rd 2022 (15 Spots Open) Reply VT
Snowmobiling Trip Feb 11th-13th 2022 (12 Spots Open) Reply Sleds
Miami Yacht Day March 11th-13th 2022 (12 Spots Open) Reply Yacht
103 foot Azimut yacht we are commandeering
Can't wait to see you on the next trip!
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