Broad Market Outlook
We had somewhat of a nothing week last week from a trading standpoint as the S&P 500 trading in a 2% range between 390 and 400 in the SPY. That seems to be setting up what could be a mickey mouse flag for a move eventually back up through 400.
As it takes time for major stages in the markets to change, we are starting to really see more bases starting to take shape that should give this market legs to climb higher with time.
We can see and are quite away of the bear market breakdown this year in the market and when we are near the upper end of the range it is easy to point higher and expect that trend to continue. But in reality bases and true lows often are much harder to pin down then we expect.
Could we still see new lows, absolutely, but broadly looking at most of the major markets and major sectors forming similar bases it seems we might be near the end of the max pain to the downside.
Stock wise we are starting to see breakout working again but do not get stuck in old ways. Shorting the SPY worked for almost the entire year but eventully if you bet on red at the roulette wheel, eventually the last spin will land on that green zero that no one every expects it to land on.
Don't get sucked into shorting every rally to the upside because it worked in the past to the downside. Take the gift the market gave you and turn those profits into new ideas, one trick ponys have a very short shelf life.
PS we made a watchlist channel on discord that has our most popular watchlists and if there are any watchlist you feel are important for other members to have, please share them on that channel!
Macro Rotation Outlook