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Broad Market Outlook
Shake called it perfectly on the last Chart Talk where after a 10% run up off lows, the market needs some type of pull back or consolidation, which is exactly what we saw this week as the broad market pulled back graciously while some individual names were not as polite during there own pull backs.
As he said last week that most charts are just wacked, I feel that is a perfect description, as its a virtual pot luck of chart patterns right now. There are names that are shaking out prior days lows to rip it into new highs by end of day, names opening weak and then just puking out below as if there is no tomorrow and still a small handful of names that are defying gravity as they continue to rock to new highs.
Names might look like garage at 10am then look like prom kings or queen by the close and vice versa.
March as a group was our best PnL Month in over a year, I lost track of the exact number after hitting $700,000+ in PnL posts for the month. The last time we had such a feasty one that was almost close to a million in gains in one month was back in January 2022.
For those that had amazing months, Mr Moon, Django, Higgins, are a few that come to mind, big shout out to you guys for killer months and everyone else who also had very impressive returns.
After a big run, we start to get over confident, the game planning gets a little sloppy, and a few extra trades get put on because you feel you are trading with house money.
Don't.
This is your money you made, you earned it, be stingy with it, guard it, hell take some money out of your account and make the gains real by doing something or buying something you wanted. There is often this weird disconnect with money when you don't physically touch it from time to time.
I was talking with someone recently who just lost his life savings in some worthless stock ($70k loss), I mentioned in the conversation that it was too bad he didn't just buy a Porsche instead. Which he thought would have been impossible or improbable but losing $70,000 in a happy meal stock was.
As Jesse Livermore use to do (legend goes) that at the end of each trading year, he would lock himself in his banks vault with his trading profits and do an annual trade review and physically touch his gains making it feel real.
If you truly had a record breaking PnL month this month, make it real and reward yourself and do not feel ashamed or bad about it.
Taking even a week off can do wonders after a monster run that will give you the time and clarity to come back sharp and focused.
From Bennett
SPY
Dow Jones
Nasdaq
Mid Caps
Small Caps
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Handbook Updates
Support Trading Experts as Book Publishers at no cost to yourself! Order and let me know your cost at checkout and we will refund you back the total!
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Sector Rotation
Sensitive - sectors that have moderate correlations to overall market conditions.
Tech
Energy
Industrial
Telecom
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"Don’t tell me what you think, just tell me what’s in your portfolio"
We started a separate group for Alpha members with a focus on long term investing and increasing weekly savings. If you would like to join this group, all that is required is you have an M1 account. You can send me a screenshot of the account to be added. If you need help setting the account up set a time below and we can get you started with as little as $100 in under 15 minutes!
PS before you open an account at TD, reply to this email with: Your full name and email to get a $50 bonus
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Cyclical - sectors that are more sensitive overall market conditions.
Materials
Consumer Discretionary
Financials
REIT
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Tax Experts
Tax season is right around the corner and this will be the 1st year that we will be assisting members with filing their tax returns. If you have any tax questions click here to talk with a tax pro!
Ask Niko Inaudi how his experience was with us filing his return for him!
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Defensive - sectors that tend to outperforming during sub par market conditions.
Consumer Staples
Healthcare
Bio Tech
Utilities
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Monday Group Calls
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Big Picture Set Up
APOG
This APOG is setting up for a textbook breakout through 50, however it is not a blue sky breakout if you zoom out, a nice pattern to keep an eye on after it reports earnings.
BCPC
This BCPC has been setting up for a few months now as it continues to base out in this $10 range, will be looking to buy up through 142 if we can find a tighter entry.
CSCO
This CSCO is still basing nicely, this is a lower beta tech name so this is one where getting $3 to $4 out of the name can be a lot, you almost want to be heavier in a name like this and have a tighter stop. For now the proper stop is 53 however by the time it's ready, risking anything more then $1 would be a pass.
CTSH
Now that CTSH is more of a blue-ish breakout, this is often the time when it falls off most traders radars as it didn't have that perfect breakout through $92 but for us, our mental capital is full as it sets back up.
KSS
KSS has been setting up for over a year now to break through this $64 level and it still may need some time to digest that monster move from $54 to $64 however when this name wants to take this level out, we want to make sure we are involved.
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Traveling Experts
We have a few exciting experiences planned for the year ahead. We hope you find a trip that sparks your interest to come enjoy and network with other like minded members!
Dates:
2nd Annual Blue Ridge Rally April 22nd to 24th
1st Annual Private Track Day June 9th
2nd Annual Long Beach Island June 15th to 19th
6th Annual Vermont Retreat Jan 19th to 23rd 2023
2nd Annual Blue Ridge Rally
We have a big announcement for the upcoming rally!
Shake will be joining us this year in his high end RV that does 0-60 in 14 seconds flat.
We have 2 open spots for members who would like to attend.
This trip starts in New Jersey, if you are local and want to join in on the fun, shoot me a message on GroupMe to learn more!
1st Annual Private Track Day
We rented out a private race track in New York in June for exotic car racing and motorcycle racing! If you would like to learn more about this event let me know!
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