Cheap vs Expensive Stock Debate
Say you had $1,000 to invest, you are given two options :
Option A : Invest $1,000 if the trade is successful you will have $1,480 after, if it fails only $520
Option B : Invest $1,000 if the trade is successful you will have $1,470 after, if it fails only $950
Which would you pick?
We are constantly being told that new investors cannot afford to buy expensive stocks because they can only afford to buy a few shares. We will break down a case of a cheap stock vs an expensive stock and will debunk how it's a load of crap!
The two stocks in this example will be ARGS (cheap stock) ARG (expensive stock)
Both formed nice bull flags, the main difference is that with the ARGS (cheap stock) you had $3 risk for $3 of gain. While ARG (expensive stock) you had $3 risk with a $50 gain.
ARGS (cheap stock) $6 stock ARG (expensive stock) $100 stock
ARGS 160 shares bought ARG 10 shares bought
ARGS Entry $6 ARG Entry $98
Risk If Trade Fails
ARGS Stop $3 ARG Stop $93
ARGS Risk $3 ARG Risk $5
Dollar Risk $480 Dollar Risk $50
(160 shares x $3 ) (10 shares x $5)
Profit If Successful
Stocks at $9 Stocks at $140
$3 gain $47 gain
$3 gain X 160 shares $47 gain x 10 shares
$480 gain $470 gain
$3 risk $3 gain $5 risk $47 gain
“To make money successfully long term, you need to take trades where the risk reward is 5:1 or greater.” Ray Dalio (regarded as one of the most successful hedge fund managers)
This is why in most cases, trading cheap stocks the risk is far too great, there will always be exception to the rule. Regarding trading long term, we need to manage our risk to stay in the game. If the cheap stock trade fails and you loose 50% of your investment account, you will need a 200% gain just to break even. With the expensive stock and a proper stock, when you risk 5% and loose you only need a 6% to gain back to break even!